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- Oba
10 years of FIF
WOW WOW take it easy there networkz!
But how did you figure that UA passed adidas in sales? If i look at last years numbers Adidas hal a revenue of around 9 bio and UA has a revenue of about 2 bio for the same period. Matter of fact adidas s revenue of one quatery is about the same of the yearly revenue of UA both around 3/4bio so i really dont see how adidas has 4 times the revenue of UA and at the same time UA outsells them that does not add up. I dont have exact sales numbers but from their respective 2016 q1to Q3 revenues there is no way UA outsold adidas.
CRZD i really enjoy the fact that your such a dividend investor gives me a perspective i would not usualy consider to much.
Also on valuing UA i lke to look how they would be priced if they had an average industry P/E which would be around 25 in this case UA would be fair valued at 11/12$. Assuming they slightly outperform the market a P/e of 30 should be fair so you d have a price of around 13/14$.
In order to justify a price of 15 their profits would need to increase by 13% which probably requires a revenue increas by around 30%. These figures are not accurate but i think they give you a good idea of what need to happen in order to justify the valuation cause in the long terms all companies will trend towards an industry average P/E. So imho right now the stock is highly overvalued, but with future growth it could be justified I just dont see them increasing revenue and profits fast enough to warrant current price and even at 15 I would be sceptical.
That being said Imho on the way down there will be a lot of rebounds and you could haevily profit. Usually you see bounce backs when stocks drop beyond psychological barriers such as the 20$ mark.
On dividend paying stocks you should check out Zurich insurance(ZURN) they pay pretty consistent dividends 17 CHF per year in the last 4 years.
They currently trade at 280 which looks high but i fully expect them to reach that 300 mark this year. Also those 17chf per stock are roughly 6% if you buy @280.
Also you have the advantage of the swiss Frank with the political instability in the US, EU and the UK switzerland and the Swiss frank once again look like a safe haven for Investors so if you invest over at least 3 years i also expect you to make a currency gain.
But how did you figure that UA passed adidas in sales? If i look at last years numbers Adidas hal a revenue of around 9 bio and UA has a revenue of about 2 bio for the same period. Matter of fact adidas s revenue of one quatery is about the same of the yearly revenue of UA both around 3/4bio so i really dont see how adidas has 4 times the revenue of UA and at the same time UA outsells them that does not add up. I dont have exact sales numbers but from their respective 2016 q1to Q3 revenues there is no way UA outsold adidas.
CRZD i really enjoy the fact that your such a dividend investor gives me a perspective i would not usualy consider to much.
Also on valuing UA i lke to look how they would be priced if they had an average industry P/E which would be around 25 in this case UA would be fair valued at 11/12$. Assuming they slightly outperform the market a P/e of 30 should be fair so you d have a price of around 13/14$.
In order to justify a price of 15 their profits would need to increase by 13% which probably requires a revenue increas by around 30%. These figures are not accurate but i think they give you a good idea of what need to happen in order to justify the valuation cause in the long terms all companies will trend towards an industry average P/E. So imho right now the stock is highly overvalued, but with future growth it could be justified I just dont see them increasing revenue and profits fast enough to warrant current price and even at 15 I would be sceptical.
That being said Imho on the way down there will be a lot of rebounds and you could haevily profit. Usually you see bounce backs when stocks drop beyond psychological barriers such as the 20$ mark.
On dividend paying stocks you should check out Zurich insurance(ZURN) they pay pretty consistent dividends 17 CHF per year in the last 4 years.
They currently trade at 280 which looks high but i fully expect them to reach that 300 mark this year. Also those 17chf per stock are roughly 6% if you buy @280.
Also you have the advantage of the swiss Frank with the political instability in the US, EU and the UK switzerland and the Swiss frank once again look like a safe haven for Investors so if you invest over at least 3 years i also expect you to make a currency gain.