Well you never know. There were couple examples in history where the team playing most of the game with 10 people advanced through eventually. Like Italy vs Holland in 2000.
But first... isn't that only yellow, when the GK fouls a player IN A PENALTY area, and not red ?? The red is true, but only outside penalty area right ?
Like here:
[youtube]rMzbWZM9lNg[/youtube]
And secondy, there could be easily a free-kick for high foot of Baros. I would even say, If there should be a free-kick of any sort(like penalty too), it should be a free-kick to Chelsea for dangarous play of Baros. He was going with his foot straight into Cechs face. Just watch it here:
[youtube]79FOSVZiiGE[/youtube]