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- 22IcardiBroHand
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10 years of FIF
I was doing fieldwork in China in 2008, and still a keen China watcher.
In China threre is a thing called Wage repression. Money earned from export is put into reserve, then finance though foreign loan (to the US), or domestic investment into infrastructure. In 2008 when the mortgage crisis and shady securitization system triggered the huge financial ourbreak, China put everything in infrastructure as the CCP did not have foreign destinations for their money. Parking ur money in $ is always a safe option - the Economist says $$$ has an exorbitant privilege due to the nature of American debt-fuelled consumption econmy.
The government cant increase Wage because repression policy sustains China competitive advantage - cheap labour (they are restructuring the economy but it takes time). Also, the Communists don’t want a large emergence of a “middle class” - the bourgeois as it would bring about more pressure on the government as well as a possibility of a novel counter-hegemonic ideology. The problem is that infrastructure has hit its limit while export is slowing down. Not only because of the 2008 financial recession but also because of Chinese low position on the ladder of creative industry. In short, the $ inflows slows down.
Meanwhile, Wealth was transfered from Household to the state as interest is set lower than inflation rates. People aint stupid, they keep their savings rather than put them into the central bank. Chinese domestic economy is way more capitalistic than many of you may think, people have channels to make money and to finance elsewhere internationally. Thus, it is understandable when The CCP restricts the outflow of $ leading to our, Inter, current situation, and to the situations that Universe observed. Especially consider the fact that big corporations in China benefited a lot from official connections AND the state putting up protective barriers against foreign competition. Who Jack Ma would be, if Amazon had been allowed to infiltrate Chinese market.
it feels so good to see an economic literate on fif, so good