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brehme1989

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Very slim chances he loses the elections though.

Ironically, Erdogan came to power as some liberal pro-EU dude...
 
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Adriano@10

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Very slim chances he loses the elections though.

Ironically, Erdogan came to power as some liberal pro-EU dude...
Fair enough polls would suggest that it s closer than it has ever been with erdogan...
Just saying if the erdogan loses theres gonna be a lot of free alpha tp pick up in turkey, might be worth to put in some time even if probability is low.
 
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Pimpin

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Fair point i guess with apple entering that market directly chances of a takeover have been decreased...

BTW anybody on here familiar with the turkish market? The way erdogan has fucked that economy there could be more then a couple bargains if he looses the election in may. Especially with kilicdaroglu(SP?) talking about making turkey more friendly to foregin investors again also him being an economist helps a lot.
Kilicdaroglu wants to deport 3 million syrians so not what people make him out to be, pretty far from it. Hard to see how much more "conventional" he will be in terms of economic policy.

Seeing the exchange rate eur/usd, gbp/usd is baffling.
 
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Pimpin

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I think I will open a position on Schwab, i like the vibes
 

Adriano@10

Allenatore
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LOL so that it for first republic wonder if they can even make it to friday when the FDIC would normally step in....
I must admit once again i underestimated how fucken dumb the average person is......Apparently outflows never really stopped...

In other news Credit suisse is now one of the most profitable banks in the world cant make this shit up, they just posted a "profit"...
Ofcourse this was only possile cause they burned the AT1... Still highly misleading and any non finance/banking person must be wondering wtf is happening there when they just see the headlines...

Anyways i guess First republic spooked markets good yesterday and will be going in the same direction till FDIC steps in...
Fucken fun times

EDIT: did not know as i dont follow his show but apparently Cramer again with the death kiss right before implosion... THat fucken inverse cramer ETF must be a fucken money printer. Like at this point it would be hard if one set out to lose money/ pick bad stocks on purpose to beat cramer...

Edit2: UK watchdog just blocked the msft ATVI merger, ofcourse it s not over yet as MSFT will appeal but still
 
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Pimpin

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there's been alot of beats due to new "accounting" see alphabet lol.

I think the ATVI merger is pretty much over.. i still think they will buy something.. and ATVI on its own will do well again..
 

Pimpin

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Gdp below estimates so naturally rates go down and stocks up..

Any reason why i shouldn't load up on us bonds? Double whammy eur/usd and rates taking a dive on recession ..
 
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brehme1989

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Gdp below estimates so naturally rates go down and stocks up..

Any reason why i shouldn't load up on us bonds? Double whammy eur/usd and rates taking a dive on recession ..
Which kind of bonds are you looking at?
 
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Adriano@10

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Gdp below estimates so naturally rates go down and stocks up..

Any reason why i shouldn't load up on us bonds? Double whammy eur/usd and rates taking a dive on recession ..
Inflation data... Also you ll be completely dependent on what the fed does...To me the data we get is very mixed, and we are not even close to getting inflation in control. (look at Japans numbers)
Of course it all depends on your time horizon as markets seem to think a rate cut is around the corner but markets have been thinking this for tha last three rounds and have been utterly wrong.
It really all boils down to what is worse in the feds eyes a mild recession or inflation that stays above 4%-5%? My guess would be that they wont pivot till Inflation comes down significantly, partially cause a slight recession would actually help with that.

Then again if you re okay with locking in current high yields and just wait till the pivot thats a reasonable idea... I personally dont mind earning 5% on my investment even if the pricipal still loses money i know that within 1 or two years the principal will be up and till then i m fine collecting 5%...

In other news: LOL amazon we saw the fucken AWS slow don comming the last at least two quarters yet market seems absolutely surprised by it.
 

Pimpin

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Javier'sSon

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if there's a BEER ticker I'm sure Fitz will drink it
 
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Adriano@10

Allenatore
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Man Jack fucking business Hippie Dorsey is such a fucken asshat.. First he sells Twtr to elon claiming Elon is the only one who could fix it and that he knows Elon...

Now he s like well Elon made mistakes but who else should we have sold it too ahhh btw wont you join my new social media app Bluesky, this time i will run it well even though before elon it was widespread consensus that i m the worst CEO of any social media company but i ve learned by watching my dear friend Elon fuck up even harder than i did.
What a fucken clown....
Sad thing is he s gonna make billions once again by running a company half assed, simply cause it s gonna be better than what ever shit show Elon produces over at TWTR and sadly zuck is not as competent in pulling of the Business hippie/ good guy look that he has lost all trust no matter what he does. So jack can be the second biggest clown out there and make fucken billions.


The bottom line here i guess is who ever is a crypto bull and swears on Crypto in any shape or form will turn out to be a massive Clown who has no idea what he s doing and is ultimately only motivated by greed. Which at this point is 100% true about Jack.
If only he was a better liar than he might actually out fraud Elon....
 

Javier'sSon

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Fuckin Pimpin told me to look into FRC puts months ago :einstein:
 
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Pimpin

I'm better than Icardi
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Fuckin Pimpin told me to look into FRC puts months ago :einstein:

I know didly dick about banks beside the point that fear is contagious, if deposits are not insured.. doesn't matter anything else..

Watch lending come to a halt now and inflation subside in a few quarters..


Btw Uber will be one consolidated global taxi/cab company, how much is it worth? No idea, but without easy money, no one can compete with its sheer scale, and people will pay for it since no better option. Borderline monopoly.
 
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brehme1989

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Heard the Medici have a new bank
jumanji-adventure.gif
 

Adriano@10

Allenatore
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I know didly dick about banks beside the point that fear is contagious, if deposits are not insured.. doesn't matter anything else..

Watch lending come to a halt now and inflation subside in a few quarters..


Btw Uber will be one consolidated global taxi/cab company, how much is it worth? No idea, but without easy money, no one can compete with its sheer scale, and people will pay for it since no better option. Borderline monopoly.
Funny thing is that deposits were basically insured after the SVB debacle.... Like there was no way in hell they are gonna save SBV and let depositors of another bank get wiped out right after that...
Goes to show how frickle the industry is and how little depositors care/know... Why anybody was still running to pull their deposits from first republic is kind of hard to grasp... unless they had as bad exposure as some pf SVB clients had but looking at the amount of outflows one has to conclude that a lot of save deposits moved tooo. I guess i underestimated the psychologie of most people there was no rational to pull money from First republic yet the masses apparently did it and thus killed FRB. Then again the banking is a sector where once fear spreads there is virtually nothing a regulator/bank can do to calm markets...

In other news terrible data out of china yesterday and markets are stuck again in a limbo between shits goona hit the fan we re fucked and shits gonna hit the fan the fed will have to pivot......
 

brehme1989

La Grande Inter
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Tonight's going to be interesting
 
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