Italian Serie A 2024/2025

Jnr

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Napoli will play next 2 later than us too, which psychologically can pressure them alot when we are near the end. Obv we have to take care of business on our end.

I wanted to be +6 , +7 before Bologna which is matchday 33. 5 games until the end we could have our small "fuckup" advantage .Anything can happen there, they are that good. We could also smash them there who knows. I just don't want to go to Como needing full 3pts!

Enough of fixtures and mathematics. Enjoy this break guys. The sun is coming out. Spring is around the corner! Its a good small vacation for the brain , because football is intense!
 

varmin

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From the teams which are fighting for top 4, we still are about to face:
Bologna, Roma and Lazio. The Lazio game will be just before the last round, which is good as they could be already out of the race and play for nothing.
Napoli will face only Bologna and Milan.
Atalanta have the toughest schedule - Fiorentina, Lazio, Bologna, Milan and Roma.
I'd say that at this point it's two horses race. Us and Napoli
 

PHM1605

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Not only the opponents' toughness, but we aren't allowed to burn gas. As the updated schedule shows (GMT+7), 03.04 is the Coppa vs Milan, 05.04 is the Parma match. Then early 09.04 is vs. Bayern in Munich.

That intensity is brutal. Imo it's impossible to have any points in Munich if we have tried so hard in the previous matches.
 

CafeCordoba

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This counting "hard" or "easy" opponents is misleading. As mentioned, in the later stages of the season, even the small teams are tough when they have something to fight for. If we are lucky, Lecce and Parma away matches for Napoli are not easy ones despite those clubs being on the bottom end of the table. Even Empoli has a lot to play, but that's played in Stadio Diego Armando Maradona and Empoli has been pretty shit lately.

All in all, what a fantastic round.
 

pier

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#Date-INTERPoints64-NAPOLIPoints61
CL3/5AFeyenoord
283/8HMonzaW61HFiorentina ⭐W60
CL3/11HFeyenoord
293/16AAtalanta ⭐W64AVeneziaD61
3/21 International breaks
303/30HUdinese HMilan ⭐
CP4/2AMilan
314/5AParma ⚠ ABologna ⚠
CL4/8ABayern München
324/12HCagliari HEmpoli
CL4/16HBayern München
334/20ABologna ⚠ AMonza
CP4/23HMilan
344/27HAS Roma ⭐ HTorino ⚠
355/4HHellas Verona ALecce ⚠
365/11ATorino ⚠ HGenoa
375/18HSS Lazio ⭐ AParma ⚠
385/25AComo HCagliari


Yeah, the team that's fighting to avoid relegation could be a real hurdle for Napoli.
I think the next 3 matches will be crucial for Napoli.
They will Milan who is eager for 4th spot, an on form Bologna, and then there's Empoli, who's fighting to avoid relegation.
Torino, Lecce and Parma may also surprise them.

Even so, it would be wise for us to remain focused on our own performance and strive to secure the three points.
It's going to be a bit of a challenge, especially since our schedule is so congested.
The game versus Parma and Bologna will be challenging, but we'll have home field advantage over Roma and Lazio.

Anyway, as usual here the link to play around for Top 3 Simulation
 

brehme1989

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Ironically I am concerned about Torino, Verona and Udinese games the most :D

Cagliari and Parma will also be tricky and not winning at Bologna is part of the season.

9 games left but none of them are easy. On scoreline we'll make at least one of them look easy, but it's hardly the case.

If all goes well, we celebrate vs Lazio. Again.
 

wera

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At this moment (Gameday 29) we have the same amount of points as in our first season with Conte - 64 points.

At that time we finished second with 82 points, which will probably be not enough for a Scudetto this time again too. There are so many surprising results this season, no team is running away with it :)

Last two times we won the league we won it with 91 points (Conte) and 94 points (Inzaghi). This time it's probably going to be 87-88 points for the final winner.
 

bubba zanetti

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If we beat Bologna and Torino we gonna win scudetto.
 

wera

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Not necessarily, but quite possible those wins would be huge, especially the Torino one.

I would just like to say that Atalanta lost 3 of the first 5 games in Serie A this season. Napoli lost the first game of the season against Verona of all fucking teams (3-0). We also didn't start the league with a good record (2 wins, 2 draws, loss against Milan).

And now these 3 teams are the ones fighting for the Scudetto. Now ask yourself how bad Milan, Juventus and Lazio are doing to not be top3 atm.
 

bubba zanetti

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I think Bologna game will make it or break it, just like three years ago.
 

wera

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Yeah, but it all depends on the context. It's game by game basis and we don't have to watch how the other teams are doing anymore. Being first at this point of the league gives you the power that you need to activate and just go take it.

All of the remaining teams are beatable, the problem is just will our squad not be too fatigued and/or injured to do it? I believe we can do this
 

CraigM

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There was still 10 minutes + extra time left. Without that error Inter could have gone on to grab a late winner. We will never know. That error was the nail in the coffin.

But they didn't score, or even come close to scoring after the Radu mistake anyway. Radu cost them the draw but that draw was useless anyway, only a win was of any use and that failure was on the attacking players.
 

CraigM

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One of the biggest gains is that our lead over Napoli and Atalanta is essentially 4 and 7 points respectively rather than 3 and 6. Napoli cannot match our goal difference and Atalanta lose on head-to-head record so both need that extra point to get ahead of us.
 

Kramerica Industries

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Napoli has a relatively easier schedule, but at this point you can't make claims because of obvious reasons. They have been shaky lately, and they've shown to have real issues against mid-table/bottom teams. Their most difficult matches out of these remaining ones are next two; against Milan and Bologna, the rest are "easy" on paper.

Yeah, that's the thing, isn't it? Two things anyway - one being that Napoli might have the easier remaining schedule (on paper; everything's on paper, it gets tiring always feeling the need to give this distinction), but we have the easier schedule for the next two weeks. I know we're not looking forward to the trip to the Dall'Ara and the associated trauma with late season games there, but if we're up to a 5-7 point lead by then, even a loss wouldn't be the end of the world. More importantly, if Napoli do drop points in those games while we (hopefully) take care of Udinese and Parma, we might just reach a point where Napoli will psychologically give up.

Here's a little thought exercise - in 2025, Napoli's played away to Fiorentina, Atalanta, Como, and Venezia, and home against Juventus and Udinese. How many points would people have expected them to get from those games? My guess is somewhere between 11-14. How many did they get? 11, but not in the way that would've been expected. The expectation would've likely been 7-9 points from the Como/Udinese/Venezia trio, and then five points from the three tougher games. Instead, they beat Viola and Atalanta away and Juventus at home and all of a sudden it looked like if they were winning those games against that level of opposition that we were going to have a real problem on our hands trying to get in front of them. The three other games really balanced the scales out, thankfully. Nobody expected 9/9 from the three tough games and 2/9 from the "lesser than" games. But that's football and why it's not played on paper.

As @Jnr also points out, Napoli play after us in each of the next three weeks after the break. That's three chances for us to temporarily boost our lead before they play, three more chances to put the pressure on. It's always a benefit to play first, in my view. Just need to take care of our business and see where it takes us. We have tough games left but the nastiest part of our schedule is finally behind us and, through it all, we somehow came out better for it despite not winning any of the away games until the last of them.
 

ElDuccio

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Imagine the season ending with Inter-Napoli playoff final. When after 38 gamedays, only one game will decide everything. And then the game ends with a penalty shoutout. It's not comparable to Coppa or Supercoppa final. I think my heart would not make it.
 

brehme1989

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McKennie feels like the Nagatomo of Juventus
 

BasedGodPunk

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Napoli lack of squad quality is finally coming back to get them. The only reason theyre in the race is because of their light schedule. As for Juve, Motta has done a pretty shitty job. They should really be fighting for the scudetto with the squad on paper. Id take their squad over Napoli or Atalanta.
 
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